Open Thread 458
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Astral Codex Ten’s Open Thread 458 is a weekly community post inviting readers to discuss any topic and sharing several announcements. The post points to Bay Area voting guides, FutureSearch job openings, a planned Pause AI protest in London and a newly listed Manila meetup.

Astral Codex Ten published Open Thread 458, its weekly invitation for readers to discuss any topic, alongside notices about Bay Area voting guides, FutureSearch hiring, a planned London protest and a Manila meetup. The post also thanks readers for ballot advice and shares a reader’s Halloween costume inspired by one of the site’s articles.

The post describes itself as a weekly visible open thread where readers can post about anything or ask questions. It points readers to the ACX subreddit, Discord, bulletin board and in-person meetups. The author says most content is free, while some is limited to subscribers.

In a note about California’s ballot, the author thanks readers who offered additional considerations and links to OpenBallot.app, where David Bloomin collected Bay Area voting guides. The post names guides associated with SF Democrats, SF Republicans, YIMBYs, Women and the “SF League Of Pissed Of Voters,” and says readers can compare where the author agrees or disagrees with them.

The post says FutureSearch is hiring and describes it as one of the leading AI superforecaster companies. It invites people with a sincere interest in forecasting to view the company’s available positions. It also publicizes a Pause AI protest in London on November 21: the post says organizers had 829 people and were aiming for at least 1,000. A separate meetup update adds Manila, Philippines, to the ACX list.

At a glance
announcementWhen: Published for the week of October 31, 2…
The developmentAstral Codex Ten published Open Thread 458, combining its weekly open discussion with community notices and event information.

Reader Notices Across ACX

The thread serves as a community noticeboard as well as a discussion space. Its links could help readers find local ballot comparisons, pursue forecasting-related work, take part in an event or locate an in-person gathering. The announcements are relevant to different audiences, rather than a single coordinated campaign or policy development.

The London figure is presented as a count of people, with a stated target, not as confirmation that the protest will reach that target. For readers following the event, the post provides a point-in-time update and a route to further information, while the organizers’ plans and turnout remain subject to change.

The Manila listing also extends the visible meetup options in the post. It does not specify the gathering’s date, venue or organizer, so the listing alone does not establish when or how a meeting will take place.

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A Weekly Open Discussion

Open Thread 458 follows the format described in the post: a recurring open discussion where readers may bring unrelated questions and topics. The numbered notices sit alongside that invitation, spanning local voting resources, employment, activism and meetups.

The California ballot note follows reader contributions to the author’s ballot considerations. Rather than presenting a single voting recommendation, the post links to a collection of guides and says readers can see points of agreement and disagreement. The excerpt does not reproduce the guides’ recommendations or explain how they were assembled.

The post also includes a Halloween reference. It shares a message from Haven Harms, whose costume was described as “Schrödinger’s Cat” and a reference to “Trapped Priors,” an Astral Codex Ten post. The supplied excerpt reports the social-media post’s displayed figures—523 views, two reposts and 27 likes—but does not provide a broader measure of its reach.

“This is the weekly visible open thread. Post about anything you want, ask random questions, whatever.”

— Astral Codex Ten author, in the open thread

Details Not Given in the Post

The source is a community thread, not an independently reported account of the announcements. It does not provide the underlying links’ full details, including FutureSearch’s specific vacancies, application deadlines or job terms. It also does not identify the source or measurement time for the 829-person figure, or clarify whether that count represents registrations, confirmed attendees or another measure.

The post gives the London protest date as November 21 but does not specify the year in the excerpt, nor does it provide a location, permit information or further details about the event. It says the organizers were seeking at least 1,000 people; it does not confirm that the target was reached or that the protest took place.

For the Manila meetup, no date, venue, organizer or attendance information appears in the supplied material. The post also does not reproduce the content of the linked voting guides, so their recommendations cannot be compared from this source alone.

Follow the Linked Notices

Readers interested in the listed opportunities can use the links in the original thread to check OpenBallot.app’s voting guides, FutureSearch’s open positions, Pause AI’s event and volunteer information, and the ACX meetup list. Those pages are the appropriate place to confirm current dates, application requirements and event arrangements.

The thread itself sets out no further publication schedule beyond its weekly format. The next concrete milestone named in the post is the London protest date of November 21; the source does not report a later attendance update or confirm what occurred. Future details about the Manila listing and the hiring notice are likewise not provided here.

Key Questions

What is Open Thread 458?

It is Astral Codex Ten’s weekly open discussion, inviting readers to post about any subject or ask questions. This edition also carries community announcements.

What voting information does the post share?

It links to OpenBallot.app, where David Bloomin collected Bay Area voting guides. The post names several groups’ guides but does not reproduce their recommendations.

What does the post say about the London protest?

It lists a Pause AI protest in London for November 21 and reports that 829 people were associated with it, with a goal of at least 1,000. The excerpt does not explain how the count was defined or confirm the event’s outcome.

Where can readers find the job and meetup details?

The thread directs readers to FutureSearch’s available positions and the ACX meetup list, which now includes Manila, Philippines. The supplied source does not state the job terms or the Manila meetup’s date and venue.

Source: astralcodexten.com

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